Ever
so often the country gets into a difficult situation
by choosing inappropriate solutions to its problems.
Indeed, time and again the solutions turn out to be
worse than the problems they were meant to solve,
of which there are examples galore. Be it in the field
of economics or of foreign policy, of defense equipment
or of highways, of musical chairs played by prime
ministers or of building power plants, of educating
the masses or of caring for them, it is not a malaise
of today but an on-going string of blunders which,
although often well-intentioned, somehow end up being
badly conceived or poorly implemented and only compound
the problem even further.
One common link in
all such poor solutions is the total lack of attention
to detail, both in planning and in execution. Random,
haphazard decisions, taken without much serious thought
or even without careful analysis, are bulldozed through
an often compliant and complacent bureaucracy by imperialist
leaders who arrogate to themselves the dangerous concept
of their own omnipotence.
Take the case of
the country's foreign exchange. To solve the problem
of meeting the country's foreign exchange commitments
self proclaimed financial wizards decided, covertly
behind thick curtains, to siphon off the private funds
of the citizens without their knowledge and to use
them for meeting the state's obligations. A bad solution.
But the worst was yet to come. When one day the unsuspecting
public came to know, they were informed that all their
foreign exchange deposits had evaporated into thin
air and they could take rupee equivalents at the government's
unilaterally determined exchange rate. That sounded
the death knell for home remittances and this bad
solution to the problem proved disastrous for the
country for years to come.
Remember the sad
saga of the IPPs. The problem was the looming fear
of power shortages for the expected surge in industrial
development. Once again, a handful of the then leaders
chosen handmaidens secretly embarked upon the disastrous
solution of Private Power. The country is still reeling
from this terrible decision, taken in shameful haste
without proper study or debate.
Look at that priceless
gem of ineptitude, the motorway. Without study of
traffic patterns, of national needs and priorities,
of resources, a quixotic leader suddenly one day decided
to build a grandiose motorway from his hometown of
Lahore to the capital, Islamabad. Fair enough. Motorways,
even quixotic, do become useful over time as demand
grows. But to solve the problem of speedy transportation
from Lahore to Islamabad efficiently and economically,
no proper study was conducted; not even one to determine
an optimal alignment. The existing meandering road
from Lahore to Islamabad is 280 kilometers. A new
motorway should have been straighter and shorter.
The final alignment that emerged out of the whimsical
decision making process ended up being not shorter
but a much longer 400 kilometers! No wonder that after
all these years the bulk of the traffic still refuses
to use it.
Shipping has fared
no better. To solve the problem of rejuvenating our
moribund shipping industry and saving billions of
rupees annually a novel method, excluding all procedures
and institutions, was devised resulting in an unmitigated
disaster. The navy Chief, wearing his additional and
most inappropriate hat of "Advisor to the Prime
Minister on Shipping" took a couple of cronies
to London and made an arbitrary deal to purchase three
second hand container ships for about $ 50 million.
He is currently under arrest for allegedly receiving
several millions dollars in kickbacks which itself
is bad enough. But the three ships purchased in this
lackadaisical manner, instead of saving money, have
themselves lost an additional two billion (yes, two
billion) rupees in five years of their operations.
Some solution!
Or Afghanistan. Our
policies have been consistently flawed and have led
from one unmitigated disaster to another, creating
in their wake endless horror for the poor citizens
of that unfortunate land. A group of very secret know-alls
found solution after solution, as each solution they
found proved worse than the problem it was meant to
solve. It started with the venerable king Zahir Shah
who made it his mission in life to oppose Pakistan
at every stage, even breaking diplomatic relations.
A communist intervention from the north sent the inept
king into well-deserved exile. But instead of being
beholden to the Soviets for ridding us of a major
foreign policy thorn in our side, our intelligence
agencies decided to join the Americans in throwing
out the Soviets from Afghanistan, which was successfully
achieved. Then Afghanistan's horror began. The late
venerated Mr Junejo, at the behest of the agencies
operating in secret, signed the Geneva Accord, touted
as Pakistan's solution to the problems of the Afghans.
Over the next few years the monsters who emerged as
warlords from this solution raped, looted, murdered
and plundered, turning their sad country into a devastated
wasteland. The solution became worse than the problem.
The agencies in secret decided to handle the new problem
through another solution, once again, mind you, in
total secrecy, without the foreign office or parliament
or the nation's involvement. And the solution they
found was in the brand new phenomenon called the Taliban.
And what a solution that turned out to be! It took
a 9/11, followed by a major international military
operation, to rid the world of this demonic solution
which, at one time, was touted as the crowning success
of our covert agencies.
Perhaps Kashmir falls
in the same category. We have maintained for five
decades and more that the solution to the Kashmir
problem lies in compliance with the UN Security Council
resolution requiring Kashmiris to decide to join either
India or Pakistan through a plebiscite. We have fought
for it. We have championed this solution around the
globe. But is it really a good solution? Will it solve
the problem? If the Kashmiris opt for Pakistan, will
India be happy vacating Sirinagar and Jammu and Ladakh
and Siachin? And if they opt for India, are we liekly
to cheer the solution while vacating Mangla and Muzzafarabad
and Gilgit and Hunza? In fact, either of the two options
will inevitably not only lead to more permanent bitterness
and hatred between the two countries, but is also
against the rights of the Kashmiris, who may well
by now be sick and tired of the shenanigans of both
the countries and may well decide to go it alone
Perhaps the solution
lies elsewhere, not in a change in geography but in
a change in the hearts of the people, based not on
India's or Pakistan's interests but solely on the
rights of the Kashmiris. Such a change of heart occurred
in post-war Europe, where historic enemies who had
slaughtered millions of each other's citizens in two
World Wars have learnt to live in peace and are today
integrated into an incredible union. But such a change
of heart cannot occur as long as control of the Kashmir
policy rests with self-appointed, non-representative,
secretive proponents of their own narrow illusions
of security, without any debate, any input of society
or of parliament or even of any vision and imagination.
Their solutions, as in so many other cases, will only
continue to worsen the problem.
The musical chairs
of prime ministers over the last decade and a half
must surely take the cake. Each time the problem of
eradicating corruption and bringing about good governance
was solved behind closed doors by a coterie of self
appointed saviors---usually the president and the
army chief, occasionally with a wink from the chief
justice, egged on by the sore losers of previous elections.
Each such solution, of dismissing governments to bring
in better governance, ended up in becoming worse than
the problem itself, until our final sorry descent
into today's morass. And each change had the same
common string running through it, of secret deals
and covert actions, never in the full light of day,
never under public scrutiny or parliamentary demand
or institutionalised decision making.
The constitutional
amendment packages of today have the same flaw. The
proposed solutions to the constitutional problems
of the country may well be worse than the problems
themselves, purely because very little, if any, institutional
input has gone into their drafting. But on this subject
so much has been written and spoken already that there
is little to add, except that it conspicuously contains
no checks and balances on future actions of army chiefs
and chief justices of Pakistan. There's the rub. Ad
hocism in solving problems can never substitute institutionalized,
systematic and scientific methods of decision making.
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